Russia Macro Monthly March 2015

Summary:

  • Russia’s dollar denominated equity indices, up 23%, have been the best performing amongst major markets since the start of 2015.
  • Investors have bought stocks which were either amongst the worst performing last year or are in the growth category. Mechel (+141% YTD) and Luxoft (+32% YTD) are respective examples.
  • The key reasons include the rally in the oil price and the fact that heavy-weapons appear to be withdrawn by both sides in eastern Ukraine. There are also other factors which have helped allow optimism to rise, including two significant deals by US companies to acquire Russian businesses.